Thursday, January 21, 2010

Jan 21: Heavy Rain For Monday

Verification For Wednesday Night: I expected Mostly Clear skies, with low temperatures in the lower to mid 20s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 20s for NYC and closer to the coast. The forecast verified.
Score: 4/4

Verification For Today: I expected Mostly Sunny skies, with high temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s across the area. The forecast verified.
Score: 4/4



Tonight: Partly Cloudy. Low temperatures will be in the upper 10s to lower 20s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 20s for NYC and closer to the coast.

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy. High temperatures will be in the lower to mid 40s across the area.

Tomorrow Night: Partly Cloudy. Low temperatures will be in the upper 10s to lower 20s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 20s for NYC and closer to the coast.

Saturday: Mostly Sunny. High temperatures will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s across the area.

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Short Term Forecast (Thursday Night to Saturday):

For tonight, it appears that the storm will stay far south enough to allow for cloud cover to remain partly cloudy, so I have lowered the forecast temepratures tonight, also due to the temperatures currently falling steadily. Places farther north and west from NYC will have lows in the upper 10s to lower 20s, the immediate suburbs (Bergen, Westchester counties) will have lows in the lower to mid 20s, and New York City will have lows in the mid to upper 20s.

For tomorrow, the storm remains to our south with mostly cloudy skies, however an isolated rain or snow shower from NYC south is not out of the question. As skies clear tomorrow night, more cooling takes place, with low temperatures similar to tonight. Saturday will be mainly sunny, with temperatures being slightly colder than Friday, in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

Monday's Heavy Rain and Medium Range (Sunday to Wednesday):

Another storm then sets to affect the area. Sunday will be cloudy with a chance of afternoon showers, with high temperatures in the mid 40s. Overnight, temperatures will continue to rise with rain, heavy at times. The rain will end on Monday morning, with 1 to 2 inches of rain possible. High temperatures will also then peak in the lower to mid 50s across the area.

Overnight on Monday, as the cold front passes through, we will see temperatures falling into the 30s for the lows, with high temperatures for Tuesday in the 40s, nowhere as mild as Monday. Wednesday will continue with the cool down, with high temperatures returning into the 30s.

Long Range Update:

For the longer range, as the cold once again becomes established in the northern United States, another storm could affect the area for the end of January to the start of February. Details are still unknown about this storm, however at this time it is likely that we should not have the problem of a lack of cold air as we do now.

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