May 23, 2012 Brief Update

Wednesday, May 23 Observations:

Cloudy to mostly cloudy skies were observed throughout the day, with slow moving heavy storms affecting interior parts of northern NJ and SE NY where locally heavy rain amounts were observed. High temperatures ended up in the mid to upper 70s across most of the area, with a few lower 70s further east.



Forecast Overview:


- Thursday and Friday are expected to have conditions similar to those of Wednesday, although Thursday will be slightly cooler and cloudier with a lower risk of storms. Friday appears to include another risk of locally heavy slow moving storms north/west of NYC.

- Weekend outlook: Saturday is expected to be mostly dry, with partly cloudy skies, a potential for an isolated thunderstorm, and temperatures surging into the 80s away from the coast, passing 85 degrees in parts of northern NJ. Humid conditions are expected throughout the weekend as well. The latest models continue to signal the potential for heavy thunderstorms on Sunday associated with storms moving in from the north central US on Saturday night. Tonight's forecast continues to mention a risk of scattered storms on Sunday, although heavy and/or strong thunderstorms are possible. The exact location of these storms though is still somewhat uncertain and is subject to some changes.

- Early-Mid Week: Depending on how far south the back door cold front drops, temperatures on Monday may be slightly cooler than those of Sunday, but will still stay in the 70s and possibly in the 80s inland. With a cold front approaching on Tuesday as the ridge weakens, the possibility is there for warmer temperatures, possibly getting up to 90 degrees, along with a risk of thunderstorms, possibly strong/severe depending on the specific set up of the low pressure and the cold front. Cooler temperatures and less humidity are expected for the second half of next week. Stay tuned for more information.