July 11: Warm, Humid And Stormy Week Ahead

Today brought nicer conditions than yesterday, with more sunshine and warmer temperatures, though there were isolated yet heavy thunderstorms across parts of the area, most notably for eastern New Jersey, with an isolated area in eastern Bergen County seeing nearly 3 inches of rain. Tomorrow should bring drier conditions to the whole area, but enjoy it while it lasts, as tomorrow should be the last dry and mainly sunny day for a while.

Tomorrow's Outlook:

Tomorrow should be mainly sunny and dry for the area. With slightly warmer 850 mb temperatures, and more sunshine than today, high temperatures will rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s away from the coast, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a few mid 90s for the immediate NYC area. With a south wind, Long Island and S CT should rise into the mid to upper 80s, with the immediate coast in the upper 70s.

The area should be dry tomorrow, though the dry conditions won't last for long. Storms will slowly approach from the west tomorrow, affecting the southern and western parts of the Mid Atlantic. These storms should reach the area by Tuesday. Humidity should start to increase through Monday night.

Warm, Humid And Stormy Pattern Starts Tuesday

Starting on Tuesday, with a humid air mass in place, full of moisture, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected. These storms should not be severe, but should be capable of producing heavy rainfall. There should be a few minor changes in the pattern, such as different front and low pressure locations, including Tuesday night to Wednesday being a more likely time frame for rain, but the theme of scattered storms each day with warm and humid conditions will continue through the week into next weekend.

High temperatures are expected to be in the mid-upper 80s, with a few lower 90s for places that get enough sunshine, and with dew points in the 70s, it should feel much warmer, with the heat index in the lower to mid 90s.

The storms are expected to continue through next weekend at this time, however there is still uncertainty on when the stormy pattern ends, whether it's during the early weekend or early next week. Stay tuned for more details on this stormy pattern, how much rain it may bring and when it could end.