Monday, April 26, 2010

April 26: Summer Conditions To Return

After the early April warm spell, temperatures became much colder, generally staying in the 60s, with today only staying in the lower to mid 50s across the area. This is going to change by the end of this week, however we still have another few days of chilly conditions before the temperatures warm up.

Rain is expected to continue through tonight, however a brief break from the rain is expected until at least 12 AM, followed by additional light to moderate rain. The widespread rain should end by tomorrow morning, with some clearing in the cloud cover by tomorrow afternoon. Rain amounts should end up in the 1.5 to 2.5 inch range.

Tomorrow's Forecast:

Temperatures are expected to be slightly warmer than today in the area, with high temperatures in the lower to mid 50s inland, and in the mid to upper 50s for the immediate NYC area. A few parts of the region should see much colder temperatures, including southern Virginia, where high temperatures are going to drop into the 60s from the 80s, and in northern New England, with high temperatures in the 40s and 30s.

A few showers are expected in the morning, though the rest of the day should be generally dry with a scattered shower possible. The majority of the precipitation should fall in central and northern New England, with several inches of wet snow expected in the higher elevations.

Mid To Late Week Outlook: Warming Up

As colder temperatures continue to stay in the area, high temperatures are still expected to be in the 50s with a few lower 60s possible on Wednesday, with a few scattered showers possible along with windy conditions. By Thursday, however, a much warmer air mass should begin moving into the area, and as a result, temperatures are going to quickly warm into the mid to upper 60s across the area. Friday will continue this trend, with high temperatures in the lower 70s, with a few mid 70s possible in the immediate New York City area, away from the coast.

Summer-Like Weekend, Next Potential Storm

As I have previously mentioned, there is the potential for temperatures to return into the 80s by next weekend. The models have trended warmer for this time period, and even the cold-biased GFS model shows temperatures reaching the lower 80s by early next week.

Saturday is expected to reach the lower 80s in the northwestern parts of the area, and in the lower to mid 80s for the New York City area except for the immediate coast and parts of Long Island, which should have temperatures in the 70s. Sunday is expected to continue warming up, with high temperatures reaching the mid to potentially upper 80s in parts of the area.

There is also the possibility of thunderstorms between Sunday and Tuesday. While there is uncertainty with the timing, the models show a cold front moving through during this time period, bringing scattered thunderstorms during this time period. After this cold front, high temperatures are expected to cool down, however high temperatures in the 50s are not expected to return.

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