July 29, 2012: Seasonable Week Ahead

Forecast Highlights:

- Temps start out near-slightly below average, warm up by late week/weekend

- Scattered storms likely for most days this week, next weekend

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The updated hurricane season outlook, along with an August outlook for the NYC area, will be posted on Monday in the Long Range Outlooks page.

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Today's Observations:

The low pressure that moved through the region on 7/28 moved offshore, resulting in widespread cloud cover along with scattered storms over parts of the Northeast. Although the first part of the day was dry, isolated afternoon storms moved through parts of the area in the afternoon and evening. Temperatures ended up cooler than average again, peaking in the upper 70s to lower 80s from NYC and further north/west, and the upper 70s across most of Long Island with Islip, NY and New Haven, CT reaching 80 degrees.

This Week: Seasonable, Scattered Storms

The outlook for this upcoming week doesn't change much from day to day with little significant weather events on a region wide scale. Monday and Tuesday start out mainly dry with isolated storms, especially on Tuesday. Temperatures remain near-slightly below average, in the lower to mid 80s for highs from NYC and further north/west and the upper 70s to lower 80s in Long Island and southern CT. Partly cloudy skies are expected. More widespread thunderstorms are expected for Wednesday and Thursday with similar temperatures still expected, perhaps a bit cooler on Wednesday depending on the amount of cloud cover and rain. Some storms may be strong/severe, although a widespread severe weather outbreak is not expected at this time.

Drier conditions are likely towards Friday and possibly Saturday, although isolated/scattered storms are still not out of the question. By then, however, a warmer air mass will move into the region, with temperatures gradually warming up into the mid to upper 80s, slightly cooler in coastal areas. 90+ degrees are possible in parts of the area towards the weekend time frame, although the risk of thunderstorms returns towards the late weekend and possibly early next week. More information will be posted as details become clearer.