Thursday, June 24, 2010

June 24 Night: Colder Temps Return Next Week

Today's Summary: While today was inactive in some places, including parts of southern New York City, there was rather significant activity today, with the two main areas being Queens, NY and Bridgeport, CT. The same thunderstorm that moved through NE NJ earlier in the afternoon rapidly intensified once it reached Queens, dumping hail up to 1.75" in size, with a report that a car was dented.

Bridgeport, CT got hit the hardest today, with a severe storm that produced hurricane force wind gusts and a possible tornado. The storm was originally in SE NY, moving ESE towards Bridgeport while intensifying. The storm also produced hail and heavy rainfall in that area before moving offshore. Bridgeport is currently under a state of emergency, with many houses still without power, and it is possible that this storm will be considered as a tornado by the NWS.

Tomorrow's Outlook:

Tomorrow should be a much nicer day than today, bringing a relief from the humidity and the heat, and better conditions for any clean up from today's storms. With a slightly colder air mass in place, high temperatures are going to rise into the mid to upper 80s away from the coast. Long Island and S CT should reach the lower to mid 80s, with the immediate coast in the upper 70s.

The rest of the region should also be very nice tomorrow. With a high pressure in control, mainly sunny skies are expected, with temperatures in the 70s for the Northeast. The only place that should not be as comfortable is Virginia, where high temperatures in the 90s should continue.

Weekend Outlook: Increasing Warmth, Some Storms

This weekend's forecast becomes more complicated. Saturday should continue to be warm, with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s, with Long Island and southern Connecticut slightly colder, in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Sunday will be slightly warmer, with parts of the area reaching the lower 90s, especially south and SW of NYC.

On both days, there is the potential for thunderstorms, focusing on Saturday night and Sunday, however due to uncertainty, I only labeled these days as having an isolated chance. If the forecasts change for this time period, tomorrow's update will reflect any change.

Monday: Hot, Humid And Stormy

As a strong storm moves to our north, Monday will bring another potential for severe thunderstorms due to a strong cold front. This time, the parameters are shown to be very favorable for severe weather on some model runs, including temperatures possibly reaching well into the 90s again. There is still some uncertainty, however there is the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms again on Monday. Stay tuned for more details.

After Monday, much colder temperatures should return, along with less humidity. High temperatures on Tuesday will cool down into the lower 80s, with Wednesday possibly back into the upper 70s. Afterwards, however, there are signs that warm conditions may return once again, with a ridge possibly building into the area by late next week or early next weekend.

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