Wednesday, May 19, 2010

May 19: Warm Pattern To Begin Tomorrow

After the chilly days we had this month, tomorrow is going to be the turning point where the pattern becomes warmer. This time, however, the warmth is expected to last, and the temperatures may be some of the warmest this year.

Tomorrow's Outlook:

Tomorrow is going to be much warmer than today. High temperatures are expected to be in the upper 70s to lower 80s inland, in the lower 80s for the immediate NYC area including the north and west suburbs, and in the upper 60s to lower 70s along the immediate coast. Long Island and southern Connecticut should have high temperatures in the mid to upper 70s with isolated areas reaching 80 degrees.

Instead of cloudy skies, we are also looking at mainly sunny skies tomorrow. In addition, except for only northern New York, the rest of the region should also be dry, with a high pressure in control.

Friday Through Monday Forecast: Warmth Continues

On Friday, the warmth is expected to continue, and even warmer temperatures are expected for parts of the area. The air mass will be warm enough for temperatures to return into the 80s, however an onshore wind is going to limit the extent of the warmth near coastal areas. As such, I am expecting high temperatures in the mid 80s for the interior areas, in the mid to upper 80s for the north and west suburbs of NYC, in the lower to mid 80s for NYC, and in the lower to mid 70s for the immediate coast.

Between Saturday and Monday, however, a weak disturbance is going to bring potentially unsettled conditions. While the better chance of precipitation should remain to our west, scattered thunderstorms are possible in our area on these days. High temperatures are expected to remain in the upper 70s to lower 80s, possibly slightly colder on Sunday.

Longer Range Outlook: Even Warmer Temperatures

For the longer range, it appears at this time that even warmer temperatures could reach the area. On Tuesday, high temperatures are expected to be slightly warmer, in the lower to mid 80s for the interior and in the mid 80s for the immediate NYC area.

By Wednesday, there is some uncertainty with the extent of the warmth, however it is likely that we should continue warming up. If the scenario currently shown by the models verifies, we could easily see 90+ degrees return to the area, with high temperatures on Wednesday in the mid to upper 80s and a few lower 90s, with Thursday potentially even warmer.

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