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This is the last storm update for tonight. The 5-Day Forecast page was updated, and the next full update will be posted tomorrow.
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The main area of storms is currently near Allentown, PA, and moving east. These storms will move into Hunterdon, Somerset, Middlesex, and potentially Union counties over the next 3/4 to 1 hour, and then potentially into southern area of NYC (Staten Island, Brooklyn). These storms are capable of producing heavy rainfall and gusty winds.
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Today's Storms:
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Looking across the region, there is currently one severe thunderstorm in northwestern Virginia. CAPE is up to 1500-2000 and LI is up to -5 in the central Mid Atlantic. Storms are expected to form and intensify in that region within the next several hours, with the highest risk of severe weather in SE PA, southern/central New Jersey and northern MD/Delaware, where storms could produce heavy rain, gusty winds and small hail. The parameters are less supportive in NYC, and even though a strong thunderstorm may be possible this evening in the immediate NYC area, the best risk of severe weather exists south of the area.
Stay tuned for storm updates that will be posted this evening.
This Week: Warm, Humid, Stormy
As the cold front stalls just south of the area tomorrow, cloudy skies with occasional showers are expected along with cooler temperatures, cooling down into the 60s and potentially the lower 70s west of NYC. Warmer temperatures will return on Tuesday and Wednesday, reaching the lower 80s from NYC and further west on Tuesday. Both days are expected to bring partly to mostly cloudy skies with a potential for scattered thunderstorms in the evening and overnight hours.
For Thursday, there is some slight uncertainty, however the latest models are suggesting that the storm may move through quickly enough to prevent any severe weather risk. More information on Thursday will be posted this evening after the rest of the evening models come out.
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