8:30 AM - 10/19: The heaviest rain so far fell over Long Island and Connecticut, with radar estimates showing over 1/4 inch, but other than far NW NJ and parts of Orange County, barely any rain fell for the rest of northern NJ, SE NY and NYC. It appears that the more widespread area of heavy rain that was expected to affect the area this morning never formed; most models were consistent with some form of a heavy rain band affecting the area this morning with rain totals in the immediate NYC area above 1/2 inch. While additional showers, locally heavy, are expected until the early afternoon hours, rain totals are likely to end up lower than modeled, generally up to or less than 1/2 to 1 inch.
The latest radar posted to the left shows two area of heavy rain and thunderstorms; one is near Pennsylvania and New York, and the other is over Long Island, approaching southern Connecticut. In between, scattered showers, locally heavy, are developing over New Jersey.
Additional heavy rain and thunder is expected to develop and affect New Jersey, SE NY and NYC towards the morning hours, with most of the rain ending across the area by 12-2 PM with scattered showers lasting afterwards, especially over northern and eastern parts of the area. Highs are expected to reach the upper 60s to low 70s for most of the area. Stay tuned for another update on Friday morning.
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