Sept 21, 2012 Noon Update

A more detailed discussion of the forecast and a review of Tuesday's wind/rain event will be completed and posted tonight.


Forecast Overview:

Today - Saturday: Following a slight warm up in temperatures today into the 70s, the peak of this brief warm surge will take place on Saturday with highs approaching 80 degrees in the immediate NYC area. A cold front will move through at night with scattered thunderstorms, especially north/west of NYC. The storms could be locally heavy with some strong storms possible, with gusty winds the main risk, although no widespread severe weather outbreak is expected.

Behind the cold front, the coolest temperatures of the fall so far will come in with another strong trough, as the current pattern favors a colder pattern for the eastern half of the US. Overnight lows will drop into the 40s for most of the area except for NYC on Monday and Tuesday nights, with high temperatures the coolest on Monday, only peaking in the mid to upper 60s across most of the area, slightly cooler for interior areas.

Temperatures will briefly warm up again towards the middle of next week, returning into the 70s ahead of the next cold front moving through around Thursday. Colder than average temperatures are likely to return again behind the cold front by Friday and next weekend with highs likely staying below 70 degrees again.