Tuesday, April 27, 2010

April 27: Heat To Return This Weekend

For the past few weeks, we have been in a generally chilly pattern, which also brought most of this month's rainfall. This chilly pattern is about to end, with warmer temperatures expected to return. The question is how warm it gets.

Frost Potential Tonight:

As a colder air mass briefly moves in, temperatures tonight are expected to drop with mainly clear skies. The northwestern parts of the area should see low temperatures in the lower to mid 30s, possibly in the upper 20s, leading to parts of that area seeing frost.

Tomorrow's Forecast:

Tomorrow is going to be the last of the chilly and mainly cloudy days. Temperatures are still expected to be chilly, with high temperatures in the lower 50s in the north and western parts of the area, and in the mid to upper 50s for the immediate New York City area. Windy conditions are also expected, mainly towards the coast.

Mostly cloudy skies are expected in the area, with a few showers possible. Most of the region should be dry, with the precipitation expected to stay in the Northeast, bringing rain and high elevation snow. The storm is expected to exit the Northeast on Thursday.


Late Week To Weekend Warm Spell

Thursday should be much different than tomorrow, with temperatures quickly warming up. High temperatures should be generally in the mid to upper 60s. Friday will continue to warm up as a warmer air mass moves into the area, with high temperatures in the mid 70s, reaching the upper 70s in parts of the New York City area. The immediate coast should stay colder, with high temperatures in the mid to upper 60s.

Both Saturday and Sunday are expected to be very warm. While the immediate coast should stay colder, in the 70s, New York City is expected to reach the mid to potentially upper 80s, with temperatures expected to reach the upper 80s south and west of New York City. If the warmer case scenario verifies, even 90 degrees may be possible in parts of New Jersey, however this is still very uncertain, and depends on the timing of the cold front. There is still uncertainty on the day of the warmest temperatures and how warm it gets, which could end up being between Saturday and Monday, with the warmest temperature ranging from the lower 80s to the lower 90s.

A cold front is expected to move through on Monday, bringing showers and thunderstorms. At this time, severe thunderstorms are not expected, however they are still possible, especially if the models change to show a more favorable set up for severe weather. After this cold front, high temperatures cool back down into the lower 70s.

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